Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.000117 0.000130 0.000143 0.000159 0.000177 0.000196 0.000218
2025-11-09 0.000098 0.000115 0.000135 0.000158 0.000187 0.000219 0.000259
2025-11-16 0.000083 0.000103 0.000126 0.000156 0.000194 0.000239 0.000299
2025-11-23 0.000073 0.000094 0.000120 0.000155 0.000202 0.000260 0.000341
2025-11-30 0.000065 0.000087 0.000116 0.000156 0.000210 0.000283 0.000387
2025-12-07 0.000058 0.000080 0.000110 0.000154 0.000216 0.000301 0.000428
2025-12-14 0.000053 0.000076 0.000108 0.000156 0.000227 0.000328 0.000483
2025-12-21 0.000049 0.000072 0.000105 0.000157 0.000235 0.000351 0.000535
2025-12-28 0.000045 0.000068 0.000102 0.000156 0.000241 0.000370 0.000583
2026-01-04 0.000042 0.000065 0.000101 0.000158 0.000251 0.000397 0.000645
2026-01-11 0.000039 0.000062 0.000098 0.000159 0.000259 0.000420 0.000702
2026-01-18 0.000036 0.000059 0.000096 0.000158 0.000265 0.000441 0.000757
2026-01-25 0.000034 0.000056 0.000093 0.000157 0.000270 0.000460 0.000813
2026-02-01 0.000031 0.000054 0.000091 0.000157 0.000276 0.000484 0.000878
2026-02-08 0.000029 0.000051 0.000088 0.000156 0.000280 0.000502 0.000936
2026-02-15 0.000027 0.000049 0.000085 0.000155 0.000286 0.000524 0.001002
2026-02-22 0.000026 0.000047 0.000084 0.000156 0.000293 0.000549 0.001077
2026-03-01 0.000024 0.000044 0.000081 0.000154 0.000296 0.000568 0.001140
2026-03-08 0.000023 0.000043 0.000081 0.000156 0.000307 0.000602 0.001239
2026-03-15 0.000022 0.000042 0.000080 0.000157 0.000315 0.000630 0.001327
2026-03-22 0.000021 0.000040 0.000078 0.000156 0.000319 0.000652 0.001403
2026-03-29 0.000020 0.000039 0.000078 0.000158 0.000331 0.000689 0.001516
2026-04-05 0.000019 0.000038 0.000076 0.000159 0.000338 0.000718 0.001614